Current Record to Date: 18-15
This is the week folks. In my mind, I am seeing the board clear as day. This can only mean one thing, that this weekend is either going to be incredible or terrible. I love the slate so much that I’ve got 17 plays this weekend, BUT if there is one thing I’ve learned betting CFB over the years, it is that if some games look “too easy”, then you’re in for a long day. With that being said, scared money don’t make money, let’s ride.
Maryland (-7.5) at Illinois, over/under 61
I’m sick of trying to be cute by taking Illinois, or an under just because their coach used to be good. With that being said, Illinois stinks and Maryland is going to run the score up on them. Fade the Illini.
The Pick: Maryland -7.5 (3)
Alabama (-14) at Florida, Over/Under 58.5
Let’s just jump right in and start with the big guns. This game SCREAMS points. Heisman favorite Bryce Young heading down to the Swamp is everything a college football fan could dream of. Though I am a B1G guy through-and-through, SEC football is king and a matchup between these two will be nothing short of electric. Give me the over.
The Pick: Over 58.5 (5)
Auburn at Penn State (-5), Over/Under 53
This is a rare instance where I think this is a trap line. Vegas wants everyone to take the Nittany Lions at home, especially with reverse line movement in favor of Auburn, but you better believe I’m taking the bait. Bo Nix heading into Happy Valley for a night game is a recipe for disaster. Not to mention that this is not just a regular night game, but a White Out night game nonetheless. This place is going to be booming, Penn State’s defense is electric, and if Sean Clifford can just take care of the ball, this is an easy cover for PSU. Although I hate James Franklin with a passion, I can’t help but love the Nittany lions this weekend.
The Pick: PSU -5 (4)
Virginia Tech at West Virginia (-2.5), Over/Under 50.5
VA Tech is the superior team, even with some defensive losses. If they play anywhere near where they played against UNC, they should cover.
The Pick: VA Tech +2.5 (4), sprinkle moneyline
Nebraska at Oklahoma (-22), Over/Under 62
Rattler. Points. Nebraska Sucks. The Three pieces to the formula for this matchup this week.
The Pick: Oklahoma -22 (3)
Minnesota at Colorado (-3), Over/Under 48.5
I am still high on Minnesota, even though they keep letting me down. Colorado is going to be down after they had Texas A&M on upset alert the entire game but couldn’t hold on. Minnesota should run and play action the Buffs to death.
The pick: Minnesota +3 (3), sprinkle moneyline
Nevada (-1) at Kansas State, Over/Under 50.5
If you couldn’t tell from previous articles, I love Nevada’s QB Carson Strong. I took this game as soon as it came out this week, as this is my favorite play. This combined with the fact that KSU’s QB Skylar Thompson is OUT with an injury, Nevada is the play.
The Pick: Nevada -1 (5)
Purdue at Notre Dame (-7), Over/Under 58
This is a classic overreaction line. Notre Dame is going to figure it out and win this game by double digits. I don’t care, it’s Purdue.
The Pick: ND -7 (4)
Florida State at Wake Forest (-4.5), Over/Under 61.5
Honestly, I just think FSU is done for the season. After a heartbreaking OT loss to Notre Dame week 1, followed by a Hail Mary to lose to Jacksonville State, I’m not sure how that team even has the confidence to play in this game. Give me the Deacs.
The Pick: Wake Forest -4.5 (2)
Northwestern (-2.5) at Duke, Over/Under 49.5
This is another line that I just think is flat out wrong. Vegas wants this to be a “trap game”, but Duke is bad. Flat out. Northwestern should come in with their stingy defense and lead the whole game, leading to an easy cover.
Northwestern -2.5 (5)
Mississippi State (-3.5) at Memphis, Over/Under 64.5
This game involves personal experience, as last week I faded MSU against NC State, and they straight up dominated the Wolfpack. Their defense looked fast, offense had their moments, and I think against a weak Memphis defense they should be able to make enough plays to cover this small number.
The Pick: Mississippi State -3.5 (2)
East Carolina at Marshall (-10), Over/Under 58
This has two simple variables. East Carolina is just bad, and Marshall is extremely underrated. Being at home, I think this line is perfect and Marshall is going to cover.
The Pick: Marshall -10 (2)
South Carolina at Georgia (-31.5), Over/Under 47.5
I have one simple rule in life, if I am traveling somewhere for a game, I bet it. With that being said, y’all know where I am going to go on this one. Whether Zeb Noland will have any completions this week is a big question, but if the rushing attack can run some clock, the Cocks cover.
The Pick: South Carolina +31.5 (2)
Arizona State (-3.5) at BYU, Over/Under 51
Jaden Daniels is a damn dawg. The best players in CFB find ways to win on the road, and after riding high against a win over Utah, I think ASU is in a perfect position to ruin BYU’s season. I love the Sun Devils.
The Pick: Arizona State -3.5 (3)
Fresno State at UCLA (-11), Over/Under 63
I actually really like this Fresno State team, but I am just extremely high on Chip Kelly’s Bruins led by DTR. Dorian Thompson-Robinson is a Heisman darkhorse, leading my pick to win the Pac 12. I think they cover yet against Fresno State.
The Pick: UCLA -11 (3)
Utah (-9) at San Diego State, Over/Under 44.5
This is a play I must take, solely off what SDSU did for me last week. Their QB is battling an injury, but he still may play, and even if he can’t go the backup is plenty capable of keeping this close and covering. Let’s go Aztects.
The Pick: SDSU +9 (3)
Teaser: 10 point, 3-team (5)
Bama/UF over 48.5
Pick Record by Confidence: