College Football Week 10

Current Record to Date: 71-61-2 (53%)

Total Units on the Season: +9.85 Units

Last weekend was the last time I put 5+ Unders on the board, as they are way too stressful and everything that could have gone against me did. FSU will forever be done chained after their blown cover on the last-play lateral attempt, but other than that it could’ve been a lot worse. This should be a very good weekend for CFB and gambling, let’s ride:

Friday Play:

VA Tech (-3) vs Boston College, Over/Under 47.5

I was all over VT until late news came in that Phil Jurkovec, BC’s highly touted QB prospect could be playing tonight. VT already has their backup QB playing, so if we see Jurkovec we could see BC run away with this one.

The Play: BC +3, sprinkle Moneyline (2)

Saturday Plays:

Ohio State (-14.5) at Nebraska, Over/Under 66

I think OSU has gotten back on track to the team where anything under a 17 point spread should hit (minus PSU). Nebraska has looked better this year, but Martinez still tries to force something out of nothing every other play and that won’t fly against OSU. OSU by 21+.

The Play: OSU -14.5 (3)

Liberty at Ole Miss (-9), Over/Under 67.5

A lot of sharps that I am seeing are all over Liberty, but I have a feeling after a bad game against Auburn Lane is going to come out and beat the hell out of a lesser opponent. Yes, Liberty has a top 15 draft prospect in Malik Willis but I don’t think they have seen an offense or speed like this Ole Miss team, give me the favorite.

The Play: Ole Miss -9 (2)

Wake Forest at UNC (-2.5), Over/Under 76

I have gone back and forth on this all week, and even talked myself into Wake last night BUT I have come to a realization. This is UNC’s national championship. They have had an extremely underwhelming year, but they are still extremely talented with the best QB in college football. Nothing would amend this year like knocking a conference opponent out of a potential run at the playoffs. Go Tar Heels.

The Play: UNC -2.5 (3)

Auburn at Texas A&M (-4.5), Over/Under 49

If it ain’t broke don’t fix it. Auburn continuously gets undervalued, and Bo Nix is going to go into College Station and upset an extremely overrated A&M team. Give me Bo Nix and the Moneyline.

The Play: Auburn +4.5 (4), Sprinkle Moneyline

OK State (-3.5) at WVU, Over/Under 49.5

Yet again, Vegas wants this to be a trap game so badly, and frankly, this one will not be close. I am going to be betting an alternate spread of -9.5 or higher. WVU is not good, and OK State with Sanders and Gundy can score at any given moment, propelling OK State into potential playoff talk with a dominant win this weekend.

The Play: OK State -3.5 (5)

MSU (-3) at Purdue, Over/Under 54

Another wannabe trap game. Vegas saw Purdue beat Iowa and wants to put MSU in the same boat. MSU is leaps and bounds ahead and better than Iowa through the duration of this season, and this is another game where the line is stupid, so take what they give you. MSU rolls.

The Play: MSU -3 (5)

Wisconsin (-13) at Rutgers, Over/Under 37.5

Death, Taxes, and Wisconsin unders. They have the #1 overall and rush defense, and Rutgers is going to have a tough time getting anything going against this Badger team. Wisconsin should beat the clock down and continuously run down the Scarlet Knights throats, with this game ending similarly to Purdue somewhere around 27-7.

The Play: Under 37.5 (3)

NC State (-2) at FSU, Over/Under 56.5

FSU is going to be dead after last weekend. They are a team that gives the best teams a run, and if they lose then they are out of it for two weeks. They almost beat ND to start the year, then lose to Jacksonville State. Wolfpack win BIG.

The Play: NC State -2 (5)

Miss State at Arkansas (-5), Over/Under 56

Arkansas was an early-season fluke. They will see more success in future years, but Leach is going to pick apart their defense and cover this too-many-points spread.

The Play: Mississippi State +5 (2)

Tennessee (-1) at Kentucky, Over/Under 57

If Kentucky is toe to toe with SC at 16-10, Tennessee’s offense should prove to be too much for the Wildcats. Kentucky is another team that peaked too early before hitting the tough part of their schedule, and Tennessee’s explosive offense should carry them to a road win.

The Play: Tennessee -1 (5)

Iowa (-12) at NW, Over/Under 40.5

Iowa is vastly underrated in this spot. Ryan Field is a tough place to play, as it is tough for visiting teams to get up for the game with a half filled stadium. I believe this is one of the worst Northwestern teams in the last decade, and Iowa should win by 3 TDs. Hawkeyes roll.

The Play: Iowa -12 (3)

LSU at Alabama (-28.5), Over/Under 66.5

Disgusting play but taking it off the basis of too many points. LSU can actually score. They won’t be able to beat Alabama or stop them, but I think they can hang around for at least a half before backdoor covering 28.5

The Play: LSU +28.5 (1)

Texas at Iowa State (-6), Over/Under 59.5

I love the Longhorns, and CFB is more fun when they are good. I think they typically show up when they need to, and they will give ISU a hell of a fight, with Sark having something up his sleeve to potentially win outright. Texas and the Points.

The Play: Texas +6 (2)

Oregon (-7)at Washington, Over/Under 51

I am not falling for this line, Washington is not that good and Oregon has been rolling in every facet of the game. Elite defense (when needed) and an offensive predicated off explosive plays. Too much for the Huskies.

The Play: Oregon -7 (2)

Indiana at Michigan (-20), Over/Under 51

This game has under written all over it. Two decent defenses, a heavy dosage of runs, with just enough injuries should make this one 31-10 in Michigan’s favor.

The Play: Under 51 (3)

Picks by Confidence:

1: 1-5: -4.2 units

2: 17-18: -1.1 units

3: 26-16-1: +6.5 units

4: 13-12: +0.8 units

5: 13-11-1: +2.0 units

Moneyline bets +5.85 units

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